Quarterbacks display their skills during an NFL game.
Analysts have released their quarterback rankings for the upcoming NFL season based on individual player performances. These rankings emphasize skills such as accuracy, decision-making, and playmaking abilities, while not considering team support. Lamar Jackson leads the pack, followed closely by Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. Emerging talents like Jayden Daniels and C.J. Stroud are also noted for their potential growth. The rankings provide a snapshot of the quarterback landscape, reflecting individual talents and projected performances as the league gears up for the next season.
In a comprehensive projection of NFL quarterbacks for the upcoming 2025 season, analysts have released their rankings based solely on player performance predictions. The rankings are derived from detailed film analysis of significant plays, throws, and overall production, without factoring in team support or environment, emphasizing individual talent and skill.
Lamar Jackson, age 28, remains at the top of the quarterback rankings due to his evolving skill set as a pocket passer coupled with his continued status as the premier rushing quarterback. Last season, Jackson showcased exceptional accuracy and decision-making, recording a remarkable 29:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio on throws that took more than 2.5 seconds. These stats highlight his proficiency at both throwing under pressure and commanding his offense with poise.
Patrick Mahomes ranks second, leading in expected points added (EPA) per play and success rate over the past three seasons. Known for his revolutionary passing style and high efficiency, Mahomes continues to solidify his case as perhaps the greatest quarterback of all time, even as he faces challenges related to supporting talent and team speed around him. His statistical dominance indicates he remains a formidable force heading into 2025.
Josh Allen, in his prime, is recognized for his elite arm talent and rushing capabilities. He led all quarterbacks in rushing production and boasts the best sack rate and high EPA per carry—an indicator of his ability to extend plays and impact games both through the air and on the ground. Despite occasional mistakes, his overall production is expected to be among the best next season.
Joe Burrow distinguished himself last season through exceptional dropback handling and processing skills. His high EPA and success rate while moving demonstrate his ability to operate effectively under pressure. Coaches and analysts see him as a quarterback with a high ceiling in 2025, especially considering his adeptness at improvising.
Jayden Daniels was ranked eighth in EPA per play during his rookie year. Known for his poise under pressure and mobile threat as a runner, Daniels is projected to elevate his game in his second season, with potential for even more significant impact due to his ability to create plays under duress.
C.J. Stroud displayed promising in-pocket performance during his first postseason appearances. Despite some challenges with pressure and team support, his quarterback play is seen as a foundation for future growth, with analysts expecting continued development through 2025.
Justin Herbert remains highly regarded for his arm strength and improving decision-making, although recent playoff setbacks and injury concerns tempered expectations. His talent continues to put him in the upper tier of NFL quarterbacks heading into next season.
Jalen Hurts, following his Super Bowl MVP and an impressive 2024 season, saw improvements in accuracy and clutch plays. With his growth across passing and leadership qualities, he is viewed as a quarterback approaching his prime.
Matthew Stafford has demonstrated flashes of high-level performance but faces concerns over consistency and physical health. When healthy, he can still deliver impactful performances, though durability remains a question mark.
Other quarterbacks such as Geno Smith, Jared Goff, and Jordan Love show varying levels of promise based on last season’s metrics. Notably, Smith’s powerful throwing ability is sometimes offset by turnovers, while Goff benefits from elite offensive line support. Love’s arm talent excites observers, but consistency remains his primary area for growth.
The rankings also reflect concerns about veteran quarterbacks like Dak Prescott, who has shown leadership but faced injury setbacks, and Russell Wilson, who experienced fluctuations in performance, particularly with mobility and downfield accuracy. Aaron Rodgers, now aging, has shown signs of decline but remains a significant figure, depending on his ability to adapt and recover from injuries.
Young talents such as Caleb Williams, Bryce Young, and Tua Tagovailoa are included with expectations of growth and adjustment in their first or second NFL seasons. Rookie prospects like Drake Maye and Bo Nix hold high upside, yet their current performance levels reflect typical early-career inconsistencies.
The projected rankings combine individual skill, playmaking ability, and consistency. It is important to note that real-world performance in the 2025 season may alter these projections significantly, especially as injuries, team changes, and in-game developments unfold. Analysts emphasize that these rankings serve as a baseline for expectations based solely on player talent and projected performance, not team circumstances or coaching support.
As the NFL gears up for the 2025 season, these rankings provide a detailed snapshot of quarterback prospects, highlighting talents poised to excel and those with room for growth. Fans and teams alike will be watching closely to see how these predictions play out on the gridiron in the months ahead.
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