Latest Marist Poll Gives Democrats 8-Point Midterm Edge
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WASHINGTON, D.C. · DC & NATIONAL EDITION · TUESDAY, OCTOBER 27, 2026
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Marist Poll Gives Democrats 8-Point Midterm Edge

Published October 27, 2026 at 9:29 am | By HERE City National Desk, Staff Reporter

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From the HERE City National Desk

WASHINGTON — With the midterm elections a week away, Democrats hold a clear national advantage in the race for Congress, though a new Marist Poll also points to limits on how big their gains may be.

Among likely voters, 52% said they favor the Democratic candidate for Congress in their district and 44% back the Republican, an 8-point gap. The Democratic lead widens to 10 points among all registered voters, down from 12 in September.

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Independents who plan to vote lean heavily toward Democrats, 52% to 39%. And a slim majority of likely voters, 51%, expect the Democrat in their own district to win.

President Donald Trump remains the central factor. Only 40% of likely voters approve of his job performance and 59% disapprove, while among registered voters his approval sits at 38%. A record-tying 53% strongly disapprove. Asked about their House vote, 44% of likely voters called it mainly a vote against the president, compared with 21% who said it was mainly a vote for him.

The survey is the first this cycle to screen for likely voters, and that group was slightly friendlier to the president and a bit less eager for Democratic control than registered voters overall, within the margin of error.

Pocketbook worries run deep. A third of respondents reported financial hardship over the past year, and 4 in 10 said their finances have gotten worse. Enthusiasm is high on both sides, with 91% of Democrats and 86% of Republicans eager to vote.

Marist surveyed 1,289 registered voters across Oct. 19-20. The margin of error is 3.7 points for registered voters and 3.8 points for likely voters.

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Section: More Washington DC politics news

Filed under: Washington DC Politics News

What's Happening
How big is the Democratic lead?
Democrats lead 52% to 44% among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot.
How is Trump rated?
Forty percent of likely voters approve of his job performance and 59% disapprove.
When was the poll taken?
Oct. 19 and 20, among 1,289 registered voters.
HERE City National Desk
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